IMPEACHMENT ODDS CLIMB TO 72% Prediction market data shows the probability of Donald Trump being impeached before 2028 has risen to 72%, trending steadily higher in recent months. https://t.co/a4Hc4OwnNF

SPOT GOLD FALLS OVER 1% INTRADAY TO $4,955.34/OZ

$M - MACY’S BEATS Q4, OFFERS CAUTIOUS OUTLOOK Macy's reported Q4 sales of $7.64B (above $7.62B est.) and adjusted EPS of $1.67 (vs. $1.53 est.), with net income at $507M and comp sales up 1.8%. Results were boosted by a $328M pre-tax legal settlement gain. For FY, Macy’s guides comp sales from -0.5% to +0.5% and EPS of $1.90–$2.10 (below $2.18 est.), citing tariff pressures—especially in Q1. The company is also expanding its store revamp strategy to 75 more locations as part of its 2026 plan.

TIM COOK IN CHINA AS APP STORE PRESSURE BUILDS Tim Cook visited China for Apple Inc.’s 50th anniversary event in Chengdu, just days after the company cut its App Store commission to 25% following talks with regulators. The move comes amid growing pressure from Beijing to loosen App Store rules, with calls to reduce fees further and allow third-party payments. Apple continues to face regulatory scrutiny over its control of in-app purchases and platform restrictions.

SAUDI ARABIA'S RAS TANURA OIL REFINERY RESTARTED ON MARCH 13 AFTER SHUTTING DOWN ON MARCH 2 DUE TO DRONE ATTACK, IIR SAYS

$MSTR: CITIGROUP CUTS TARGET PRICE TO $260 FROM $325

ISRAEL DEFENSE MINISTER KATZ: IRANIAN INTELLIGENCE MINISTER KHATIB KILLED OVERNIGHT

CHINA STUDIES U.S. WAR, SEES STRATEGIC EDGE China is analyzing Donald Trump’s war with Iran to extract military lessons, according to Western officials. Beijing is closely watching U.S. offensive capabilities and sees the strategic balance shifting in its favor in the Indo-Pacific. Insights from the conflict could inform China’s planning for a potential future clash over Taiwan.

CHINA NEARS OIL STOCKPILE DRAW China is close to tapping commercial crude reserves as the Middle East war drags on, says FGE NexantECA. Drawdowns could reach up to 1 million barrels a day over the next 4–6 weeks to keep refineries running. After heavy stockpiling, China holds about 1.4 billion barrels, giving it room to act—though strategic reserves are likely to remain untouched. Early signs of disruption are limited, with analysts like Antoine Halff noting any impact from Gulf supply issues may take time to reach China. For now, Beijing is curbing fuel exports and trimming refinery runs as a precaution while trying to preserve stockpiles as long as possible.

KREMLIN: THERE HAVE BEEN NO SIGNALS FROM EUROPE THAT THEY WANT TO HAVE A DIALOGUE ON GAS – BUT IT IS NEVER TOO LATE KREMLIN: RUSSIAN EXIT FROM EUROPEAN GAS MARKET IS UNDER CONSIDERATION BUT NEEDS SERIOUS ANALYSIS

KREMLIN: GAS MARKET IS IN TURMOIL DUE TO IRAN WAR

STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRAFFIC DROPS SHARPLY According to Amena Bakr, citing Kpler data, 108 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz since the war began on 28 February—just 38 of them since 2 March.

TURKEY SAYS NATO DEPLOYING ANOTHER PATRIOT MISSILE DEFENCE SYSTEM TO SOUTHERN PROVINCE WHERE INCIRLIK AIR BASE IS LOCATED

US TO EASE VENEZUELA SANCTIONS TO UNLOCK MORE OIL AMID IRAN WAR

RUSSIA BOOSTS IRAN’S DRONE TARGETING Russia has supplied Iran with upgraded drone technology to help target U.S. forces in the region, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing sources familiar with the matter. Bloomberg previously reported that Moscow is also providing intelligence support, including satellite imagery and drone-targeting tactics.

DRONE ATTACK TARGETS U.S. DIPLOMATIC FACILITY NEAR BAGHDAD AIRPORT - SECURITY SOURCES